Lunar Festival Quest Stats

Hey folks

Always seemed like 60/60 quests were offered far more than 4 out of 8 last time we had this festival, so I decided to record the quest distribution I was offered this time.

Played on 3 regions and had a few extra quests due to having a non-empty quest log when event started.

Always rerolled a 60/60 unless forced to clear a quest slot.

Reminder of what was available:

- 4 60/60     50%

- 1 80/80     12.5%

- 3 100/100       37.5%

I was offered:

- A total of 81 lunar quests

- 51 60/60    63%

- 8 80/80     9.9%

- 22 100/100     27.2%

% is to 1 decimal place.

I also recorded what quests were taking up other slots (as these can't be offered) and also the quest I was rerolling from (also can't be offered).  I won't bore everyone with that level of detail, and this isn't a proper statistical analysis - though much of the time I had 1 or more 60/60s already in the quest log - on 3 separate occasions I rerolled into a 60/60 despite having 3 60/60 quests.  That's a 1/5 (20%).  Only twice did a 3 60/60 reroll result in a non 60/60 (I got 1 80/80 and 1 100/100).

Definitely came away feeling strong weighting in favor of 60/60s there like last year.  Especially as of course I didn't reroll 100/100 quests which skews average result upwards.

Not saying any of this is indicative of how anyone else did or what Team 5 set due to small sample size but I thought it was interesting.  All in all glad to get some extra dust!

How did you do?

I thought it was just me & my bad luck :)

I didn't keep the results, but after getting from no quests to three 60 quests with rerolling, I started paying closer attention and realized the 60 quests are definitely more common than the 80 and 100 ones, at least in my case. Especially when I remember last year always having at least two 100 quests every three days.

Anyway, if this is the case, it could mean we'll get more events like these throughout the year, like The Taverns of Time.
At least I hope so.

Quote From JFK

I thought it was just me & my bad luck :)

I didn't keep the results, but after getting from no quests to three 60 quests with rerolling, I started paying closer attention and realized the 60 quests are definitely more common than the 80 and 100 ones, at least in my case. Especially when I remember last year always having at least two 100 quests every three days.

Anyway, if this is the case, it could mean we'll get more events like these throughout the year, like The Taverns of Time.
At least I hope so.

It didn't feel different than last time for me, but I didn't record the results and I try not to base conclusions to heavily on my personal experience - small sample size, confirmation bias etc.

But interesting to hear it at least seemed similar for you.

Don't want to moan about free dust!  But if there was weighting wish they'd have been more transparent rather than "here's 8 quests you can get, half are 80/80+".

Maybe some HS stats people collected data and will make a Youtube video on it - that I'd find pretty interesting!

Perhaps this should be a lesson. I think I can give a few tips on getting the max value of Special Daily Quests like this one (and next year if it was similar).

1. Keep two old daily quests on standby the day the festival begins. Don't immediately login at 1 AM PST, as you will get the 3rd quest still the same old. Instead, wait until at least 11 AM PST when the festival truly begins. And Yes, old quest can be rolled into special. You can get a max of 16 special quests (rather than 14 quests for the original 2 weeks)

2. If possible, when you roll special quest, and still got 60 gold, wait until the next day to roll again. but if you had 2 or more quest (the other were 100 gold), just finish the 100, because you can't get 2 of the same quest and when you roll, it reduces your chance to get another 100 gold.

3. If you got 80 gold quest on login, you should keep it, rather than have to roll for a slim chance of getting 100, or big chance of getting the bad 60 gold.

With this in mind, I guess I can brag about getting 1500 gold and dust within this festival. getting only 1 time 60 gold, and 3 times 80 quest.

EDIT. perhaps I should add, that there are

6 x 60 gold quest, 1 x 80 gold quest, & 3 x 100 gold quest. I forgot where I got this info. (I don't mind corrections.)

and Yes, I did get 3 times 80 gold quests. pure luck I guess.